Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 10:15 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.18 (league 1.43) 0.42 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.9% 59.3% 29.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
55.1%
0 - 1
23.2%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0 55.1% 23.2% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Played44
Form25%75%
Attack6%41%
Defense88%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.37 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.51 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

27%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

40%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%100%50%75%
Draws50%100%75%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%25%0%50%25%

Form: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: DDLD • Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: WWLW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
HATHAT
GF total101617
GF avg0.50.00.33.00.51.8
GA total202011
GA avg1.00.00.50.00.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Migdal HaEmekMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%25%75%25%
1.50%25%50%0%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Wins02
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-00-1
Biggest losses1-2——1-0
Goals For1031
Goals Against2001

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Form25%75%
Att13%88%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h25%75%
Goals50%50%
Total29.5%70.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Maccabi Ahi Nazareth and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away2.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Marathonbet
No1.91 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Migdal HaEmek = 0.18 (league 1.43), Maccabi Ahi Nazareth = 0.42 (league 1.19)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0 55.1% 23.2% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 59.3% · Away win 29.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1