Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 11:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.43) 0.82 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 23.3% 17.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0 7.7% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 11.0% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Played43
Form58%78%
Attack33%20%
Defense73%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.33 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 11 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ironi Baka El Garbiya Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Played224213
Wins100%0%50%50%100%67%
Draws0%50%25%50%0%33%
Loses0%50%25%0%0%0%

Form: Ironi Baka El Garbiya: DWWL • Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: WWD

League goals

Metric Ironi Baka El Garbiya Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
GF total505123
GF avg2.50.01.30.52.01.0
GA total134011
GA avg0.51.51.00.01.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIroni Baka El GarbiyaTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%67%33%
1.550%25%33%0%
2.525%25%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Wins22
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—1-01-2
Biggest losses—3-0——
Goals For3012
Goals Against1301

Model comparison

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h67%33%
Goals69%31%
Total56.7%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Ironi Baka El Garbiya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.14 @ Marathonbet
Away2.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ironi Baka El Garbiya = 1.74 (league 1.43), Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm = 0.82 (league 1.22)

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0 7.7% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.4% 11.0% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 17.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1