Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 09:50 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.15 (league 1.43) 0.23 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.4% 6.3% 1.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
17.7%
2 - 0
16.9%
4 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.7% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 3.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.7% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.0% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.8% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni Baka El Garbiya
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack79%50%
Defense93%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Ironi Baka El Garbiya
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%100%0%60%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses0%33%20%0%50%20%

Form: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: WWLWW • Ironi Baka El Garbiya: DWWLW

League goals

Metric Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Ironi Baka El Garbiya
HATHAT
GF total6511707
GF avg3.01.72.22.30.01.4
GA total011235
GA avg0.00.30.20.71.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni Baka El Garbiya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%20%60%60%
1.560%0%60%20%
2.560%0%20%20%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni Baka El Garbiya
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni Baka El Garbiya
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni Baka El Garbiya
Wins22
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-0—
Biggest losses—1-0—3-0
Goals For3430
Goals Against0113

Model comparison

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni Baka El Garbiya
Form55%45%
Att61%39%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h33%67%
Goals33%67%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Maccabi Ahi Nazareth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ 1xBet
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maccabi Ahi Nazareth = 3.15 (league 1.43), Ironi Baka El Garbiya = 0.23 (league 1.22)

Ironi Baka El Garbiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.7% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 3.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.7% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.0% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.8% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.4% · Draw 6.3% · Away win 1.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1