Liga Alef — Israel
Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 17:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.47) 4.31 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.7% 7.1% 61.5%
best score tips
1 - 4
7.0%
1 - 3
6.5%
0 - 4
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0 0.4% 1.8% 3.9% 5.7% 6.1% 5.3%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.5% 6.5% 7.0% 6.1%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 3.5%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack32%53%
Defense47%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%0%0%25%67%43%
Draws33%25%29%0%0%0%
Loses67%75%71%75%33%57%

Form: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: LLLLDDL • Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: LLWLWWL

League goals

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
HATHAT
GF total4373710
GF avg1.30.81.00.82.31.4
GA total7613549
GA avg2.31.51.91.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%100%43%71%
1.514%43%43%29%
2.514%14%43%29%
3.50%14%14%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score112314

Penalties

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Wins02
Draws20
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-01-4
Biggest losses3-52-10-33-0
Goals For3134
Goals Against5233

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Form18%82%
Att38%63%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total27.8%72.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Marathonbet
No1.93 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Umm al-Fahm = 1.15 (league 1.47), Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel = 4.31 (league 1.23)

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0 0.4% 1.8% 3.9% 5.7% 6.1% 5.3%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.5% 6.5% 7.0% 6.1%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 3.5%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.7% · Draw 7.1% · Away win 61.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1