Liga Alef — Israel
Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.46) 0.64 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.6% 19.1% 10.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.2%
1 - 0
13.8%
3 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tira 0 6.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.8% 8.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTiraHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack100%67%
Defense25%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tira Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%25%0%13%
Draws0%0%0%25%25%25%
Loses25%50%38%50%75%63%

Form: Tira: LLWWWWWL • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: LLLLDDLW

League goals

Metric Tira Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
GF total8917639
GF avg2.02.32.11.50.81.1
GA total48127613
GA avg1.02.01.51.81.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTiraHapoel Umm al-Fahm
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%75%88%
1.550%63%25%38%
2.550%13%13%13%
3.513%0%0%13%
4.513%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTiraHapoel Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricTiraHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTiraHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Wins50
Draws02
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-52-0—
Biggest losses1-22-13-52-1
Goals For3531
Goals Against2352

Model comparison

MetricTiraHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Form71%29%
Att65%35%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h9%91%
Goals0%100%
Total54.6%45.4%

Advice: Double chance : Tira or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Bet365
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away4.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.02 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tira = 2.05 (league 1.46), Hapoel Umm al-Fahm = 0.64 (league 1.24)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tira 0 6.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.8% 8.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.6% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 10.5%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1