Liga Alef — Israel
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 08:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.44) 1.53 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 24.7% 41.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Araba 0 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.6% 8.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArabaHapoel Bnei Musmus
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack20%33%
Defense47%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Araba Hapoel Bnei Musmus
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins25%0%13%40%33%38%
Draws25%50%38%40%33%38%
Loses50%50%50%20%33%25%

Form: Araba: WDLLDLLD • Hapoel Bnei Musmus: DLDLDWWW

League goals

Metric Araba Hapoel Bnei Musmus
HATHAT
GF total617549
GF avg1.50.30.91.01.31.1
GA total6511549
GA avg1.51.31.41.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArabaHapoel Bnei Musmus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%88%75%
1.525%50%25%25%
2.513%13%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArabaHapoel Bnei Musmus
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricArabaHapoel Bnei Musmus
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricArabaHapoel Bnei Musmus
Wins10
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-10-1
Biggest losses1-23-00-23-2
Goals For3122
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricArabaHapoel Bnei Musmus
Form17%83%
Att38%63%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total33.8%66.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Bnei Musmus

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.49 @ 1xBet
Away2.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 1xBet
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Araba = 1.35 (league 1.44), Hapoel Bnei Musmus = 1.53 (league 1.27)

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Araba 0 5.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.6% 11.6% 8.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.8% 6.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 41.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1