Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 10:40 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.46) 1.33 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.6% 27.9% 66.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
28.7%
0 - 0
21.6%
0 - 2
19.0%
Score & goals probability table
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0 21.6% 28.7% 19.0% 8.4% 2.8% 0.7%
1 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
2 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack29%71%
Defense53%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%20%38%75%75%75%
Draws33%20%25%25%0%13%
Loses0%60%38%0%25%13%

Form: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: WWDLWLLD • Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: WWLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
HATHAT
GF total35810616
GF avg1.01.01.02.51.52.0
GA total099314
GA avg0.01.81.10.80.30.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTzeirei Umm al-FahmMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%88%38%
1.525%38%50%13%
2.50%13%50%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
HATHAT
Clean sheets303235
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Wins24
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-00-4
Biggest losses—3-0—1-0
Goals For2234
Goals Against0321

Model comparison

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
Form24%76%
Att29%71%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total26.6%73.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Maccabi Ahi Nazareth and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Marathonbet
No1.89 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm = 0.21 (league 1.46), Maccabi Ahi Nazareth = 1.33 (league 1.24)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0 21.6% 28.7% 19.0% 8.4% 2.8% 0.7%
1 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
2 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.6% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 66.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1