Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 10:40 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.83 (league 1.46) 1.21 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.3% 15.3% 13.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Nesher 0 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 5.0% 6.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.0% 8.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.7% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
4 4.7% 5.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.7% 3.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIroni NesherTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack47%33%
Defense33%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ironi Nesher Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins75%20%44%50%20%33%
Draws0%40%22%25%20%22%
Loses25%40%33%25%60%44%

Form: Ironi Nesher: DWWLDWLWL • Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: WWDLWLLDL

League goals

Metric Ironi Nesher Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
GF total9413459
GF avg2.30.81.41.01.01.0
GA total69152911
GA avg1.51.81.70.51.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIroni NesherTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%78%67%
1.556%56%22%44%
2.511%33%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIroni NesherTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricIroni NesherTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricIroni NesherTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-01-2
Biggest losses2-33-01-23-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricIroni NesherTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Form64%36%
Att58%42%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : Ironi Nesher or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ironi Nesher = 2.83 (league 1.46), Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm = 1.21 (league 1.24)

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Nesher 0 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 5.0% 6.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.0% 8.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.7% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
4 4.7% 5.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.7% 3.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.3% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 13.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1