Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.56 (league 1.46) 0.87 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.8% 8.9% 5.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.0%
4 - 0
8.0%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 0 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.0% 7.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.0% 6.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Ironi KarmielMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack42%21%
Defense63%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins50%60%56%0%0%0%
Draws25%20%22%75%0%33%
Loses25%20%22%25%100%67%

Form: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: DDWWLLWWW • Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: LDLLDLLLD

League goals

Metric Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HATHAT
GF total8614235
GF avg2.01.21.60.50.60.6
GA total72931316
GA avg1.80.41.00.82.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Ironi KarmielMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%44%44%89%
1.556%22%11%56%
2.522%11%0%33%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Ironi KarmielMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HATHAT
Clean sheets235101
Failed to score022235

Penalties

MetricHapoel Ironi KarmielMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricHapoel Ironi KarmielMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Wins20
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-3——
Biggest losses3-51-00-13-0
Goals For3312
Goals Against5113

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Ironi KarmielMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Form82%18%
Att67%33%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.8%29.3%

Advice: Winner : Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.45 @ Betano
Away7.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Betano
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Marathonbet
No1.93 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Ironi Karmiel = 3.56 (league 1.46), Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed = 0.87 (league 1.24)

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 0 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.0% 7.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.0% 6.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.8% · Draw 8.9% · Away win 5.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1