Liga Alef — Israel
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.44) 0.57 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.2% 42.5% 27.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.9%
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
17.5%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0 30.9% 17.5% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 10.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack50%75%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%20%20%40%0%20%
Draws40%40%40%20%20%20%
Loses40%40%40%40%80%60%

Form: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: DDLDLLWLDW • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: LLLLDDLWLW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
GF total2579312
GF avg0.41.00.71.80.61.2
GA total641091120
GA avg1.20.81.01.82.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Migdal HaEmekHapoel Umm al-Fahm
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.530%40%70%90%
1.510%40%30%50%
2.510%10%20%20%
3.510%10%0%20%
4.510%0%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekHapoel Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Clean sheets336101
Failed to score347123

Penalties

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Wins11
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-52-0—
Biggest losses0-42-03-55-0
Goals For1531
Goals Against4255

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h7%93%
Goals15%85%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Bet365
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away4.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Migdal HaEmek = 0.61 (league 1.44), Hapoel Umm al-Fahm = 0.57 (league 1.27)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0 30.9% 17.5% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 10.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 42.5% · Away win 27.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1