Liga Alef — Israel
Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 16:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.44) 0.80 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.0% 32.7% 28.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.6%
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0 16.6% 13.3% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Bnei MusmusIroni Baka El Garbiya
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack38%54%
Defense38%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Bnei Musmus Ironi Baka El Garbiya
HATHAT
Played64105510
Wins33%25%30%80%0%40%
Draws33%25%30%0%20%10%
Loses33%50%40%20%80%50%

Form: Hapoel Bnei Musmus: DLDLDWWWLL • Ironi Baka El Garbiya: DWWLWLWLLL

League goals

Metric Hapoel Bnei Musmus Ironi Baka El Garbiya
HATHAT
GF total551011314
GF avg0.81.31.02.20.61.4
GA total106164913
GA avg1.71.51.60.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Bnei MusmusIroni Baka El Garbiya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%70%70%
1.520%40%50%40%
2.50%20%20%20%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Bnei MusmusIroni Baka El Garbiya
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score202033

Penalties

MetricHapoel Bnei MusmusIroni Baka El Garbiya
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHapoel Bnei MusmusIroni Baka El Garbiya
Wins32
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-0—
Biggest losses0-53-21-23-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against5323

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Bnei MusmusIroni Baka El Garbiya
Form75%25%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total54.6%45.4%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Bnei Musmus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Superbet
No2.02 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Bnei Musmus = 1.00 (league 1.44), Ironi Baka El Garbiya = 0.80 (league 1.27)

Ironi Baka El Garbiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0 16.6% 13.3% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 28.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1