Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.46) 0.84 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.7% 18.1% 12.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 8.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.7% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.9% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Bnei Musmus
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack50%36%
Defense43%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ironi Baka El Garbiya Hapoel Bnei Musmus
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins80%0%40%33%25%30%
Draws0%20%10%33%25%30%
Loses20%80%50%33%50%40%

Form: Ironi Baka El Garbiya: DWWLWLWLLL • Hapoel Bnei Musmus: DLDLDWWWLL

League goals

Metric Ironi Baka El Garbiya Hapoel Bnei Musmus
HATHAT
GF total113145510
GF avg2.20.61.40.81.31.0
GA total491310616
GA avg0.81.81.31.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Bnei Musmus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%80%80%
1.550%40%20%40%
2.520%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Bnei Musmus
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Bnei Musmus
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Bnei Musmus
Wins23
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—2-10-1
Biggest losses1-23-00-53-2
Goals For3222
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Bnei Musmus
Form25%75%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total51.4%48.6%

Advice: Double chance : Ironi Baka El Garbiya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ironi Baka El Garbiya = 2.26 (league 1.46), Hapoel Bnei Musmus = 0.84 (league 1.24)

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 8.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 9.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.7% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.9% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.7% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 12.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1