Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 10:40 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.13 (league 1.44) 0.49 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.3% 8.7% 3.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.7%
2 - 0
13.1%
4 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ironi Nesher
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0 2.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.4% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.1% 6.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 6.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.7% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni Nesher
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack71%43%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Ironi Nesher
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins75%83%80%60%20%40%
Draws25%0%10%20%40%30%
Loses0%17%10%20%40%30%

Form: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: WWLWWWWDWW • Ironi Nesher: DWWLDWLWLD

League goals

Metric Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Ironi Nesher
HATHAT
GF total10112110414
GF avg2.51.82.12.00.81.4
GA total3367916
GA avg0.80.50.61.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni Nesher
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%50%80%80%
1.560%10%50%50%
2.550%0%10%30%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni Nesher
HATHAT
Clean sheets235112
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni Nesher
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni Nesher
Wins42
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-42-00-1
Biggest losses—1-02-33-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethIroni Nesher
Form65%35%
Att63%38%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total68.7%31.5%

Advice: Winner : Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ Bet365
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away6.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Marathonbet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maccabi Ahi Nazareth = 3.13 (league 1.44), Ironi Nesher = 0.49 (league 1.30)

Ironi Nesher
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0 2.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.4% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.1% 6.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 6.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.7% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.3% · Draw 8.7% · Away win 3.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1