Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 11:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.44) 0.63 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.4% 25.2% 14.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
13.6%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0 11.2% 7.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.5% 11.0% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 8.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.1% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Bnei MusmusMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack38%31%
Defense31%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Bnei Musmus Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HATHAT
Played74115611
Wins29%25%27%20%0%9%
Draws43%25%36%60%0%27%
Loses29%50%36%20%100%64%

Form: Hapoel Bnei Musmus: DLDLDWWWLLD • Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: LDLLDLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Bnei Musmus Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HATHAT
GF total6511336
GF avg0.91.31.00.60.50.5
GA total1161731518
GA avg1.61.51.50.62.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Bnei MusmusMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%45%82%
1.518%36%9%55%
2.50%18%0%27%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Bnei MusmusMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score202246

Penalties

MetricHapoel Bnei MusmusMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHapoel Bnei MusmusMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Wins30
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-11-0—
Biggest losses0-53-20-13-0
Goals For2212
Goals Against5313

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Bnei MusmusMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Form64%36%
Att56%44%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Bnei Musmus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Bet365
Draw3.62 @ Marathonbet
Away5.00 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Marathonbet
No1.84 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Bnei Musmus = 1.56 (league 1.44), Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed = 0.63 (league 1.27)

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0 11.2% 7.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.5% 11.0% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 8.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.1% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.4% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 14.8%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1