Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 09:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.41) 1.08 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.1% 17.9% 15.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
2 - 0
8.9%
1 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 0 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.4% 7.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.6% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Ironi KarmielTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack62%46%
Defense77%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins60%50%55%60%17%36%
Draws20%17%18%20%33%27%
Loses20%33%27%20%50%36%

Form: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: DDWWLLWWWWL • Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: WWDLWLLDLDW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
GF total107176612
GF avg2.01.21.51.21.01.1
GA total741131013
GA avg1.40.71.00.61.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Ironi KarmielTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%45%82%73%
1.555%27%27%36%
2.518%9%0%9%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Ironi KarmielTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Clean sheets336303
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricHapoel Ironi KarmielTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricHapoel Ironi KarmielTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Wins42
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-32-01-2
Biggest losses3-52-11-23-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against5223

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Ironi KarmielTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Form71%29%
Att57%43%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total66.5%33.5%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Ironi Karmiel or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Superbet
No2.02 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Ironi Karmiel = 2.41 (league 1.41), Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm = 1.08 (league 1.30)

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 0 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.4% 7.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.6% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.1% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 15.3%

vtt 4 , vtd1