Liga Alef — Israel
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.44) 0.99 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.2% 20.0% 16.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.5% 9.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmIroni Baka El Garbiya
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack55%30%
Defense35%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Ironi Baka El Garbiya
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins40%17%27%80%0%36%
Draws20%17%18%0%33%18%
Loses40%67%55%20%67%45%

Form: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: LLLLDDLWLWW • Ironi Baka El Garbiya: DWWLWLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Ironi Baka El Garbiya
HATHAT
GF total961511415
GF avg1.81.01.42.20.71.4
GA total9122141014
GA avg1.82.01.90.81.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Umm al-FahmIroni Baka El Garbiya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%91%73%73%
1.536%45%45%36%
2.527%18%18%18%
3.50%18%0%0%
4.50%18%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmIroni Baka El Garbiya
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmIroni Baka El Garbiya
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmIroni Baka El Garbiya
Wins12
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-0—
Biggest losses3-55-01-23-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against5523

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmIroni Baka El Garbiya
Form69%31%
Att65%35%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h80%20%
Goals86%14%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Umm al-Fahm or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Superbet
No1.98 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Umm al-Fahm = 2.12 (league 1.44), Ironi Baka El Garbiya = 0.99 (league 1.27)

Ironi Baka El Garbiya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.5% 9.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.1% 7.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 16.6%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1