Liga Alef — Israel
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 19:15 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.41) 0.40 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.7% 16.4% 5.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.1%
1 - 0
17.0%
3 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 0 8.0% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.0% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaccabi Neve Sha'ananHapoel Bnei Musmus
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack65%29%
Defense76%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maccabi Neve Sha'anan Hapoel Bnei Musmus
HATHAT
Played57128412
Wins80%43%58%38%25%33%
Draws20%43%33%38%25%33%
Loses0%14%8%25%50%33%

Form: Maccabi Neve Sha'anan: WDWWDLWDWWWD • Hapoel Bnei Musmus: DLDLDWWWLLDW

League goals

Metric Maccabi Neve Sha'anan Hapoel Bnei Musmus
HATHAT
GF total1011217512
GF avg2.01.61.80.91.31.0
GA total281011617
GA avg0.41.10.81.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaccabi Neve Sha'ananHapoel Bnei Musmus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%75%83%75%
1.558%8%17%33%
2.525%0%0%17%
3.58%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaccabi Neve Sha'ananHapoel Bnei Musmus
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricMaccabi Neve Sha'ananHapoel Bnei Musmus
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMaccabi Neve Sha'ananHapoel Bnei Musmus
Wins33
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-42-10-1
Biggest losses—2-00-53-2
Goals For3422
Goals Against1253

Model comparison

MetricMaccabi Neve Sha'ananHapoel Bnei Musmus
Form61%39%
Att69%31%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total70.8%29.3%

Advice: Winner : Maccabi Neve Sha'anan

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.52 @ Marathonbet
Away4.68 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Superbet
No1.88 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maccabi Neve Sha'anan = 2.12 (league 1.41), Hapoel Bnei Musmus = 0.40 (league 1.30)

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 0 8.0% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.0% 6.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.1% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.7% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 5.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1