Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 10:40 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.44) 0.75 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.2% 33.5% 27.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.8%
1 - 0
17.3%
0 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0 17.8% 13.5% 5.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.4% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Ironi Karmiel
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack61%44%
Defense72%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins60%86%75%67%50%58%
Draws20%0%8%17%17%17%
Loses20%14%17%17%33%25%

Form: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: WWLWWWWDWWLW • Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: DDWWLLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
HATHAT
GF total10162611718
GF avg2.02.32.21.81.21.5
GA total4487411
GA avg0.80.60.71.20.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Ironi Karmiel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%58%83%42%
1.558%8%50%25%
2.550%0%17%8%
3.517%0%0%8%
4.58%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Ironi Karmiel
HATHAT
Clean sheets235437
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Ironi Karmiel
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Ironi Karmiel
Wins44
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-52-00-3
Biggest losses0-11-03-52-1
Goals For3533
Goals Against2152

Model comparison

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Ironi Karmiel
Form45%55%
Att58%42%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total49.3%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Maccabi Ahi Nazareth = 0.97 (league 1.44), Hapoel Ironi Karmiel = 0.75 (league 1.27)

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0 17.8% 13.5% 5.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.4% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% · Draw 33.5% · Away win 27.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1