Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.74 (league 1.44) 0.88 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.3% 14.2% 9.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.0%
3 - 0
9.2%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 8.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.2% 8.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.3% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack28%17%
Defense56%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ironi Baka El Garbiya Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins80%0%33%29%40%33%
Draws0%43%25%0%0%0%
Loses20%57%42%71%60%67%

Form: Ironi Baka El Garbiya: DWWLWLWLLLDD • Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: LLWLWWLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Ironi Baka El Garbiya Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
HATHAT
GF total116176713
GF avg2.20.91.40.91.41.1
GA total4121612921
GA avg0.81.71.31.71.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%42%75%
1.550%42%33%50%
2.517%17%25%42%
3.50%0%8%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score033437

Penalties

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Wins22
Draws10
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—3-01-4
Biggest losses1-23-00-43-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Form40%60%
Att63%38%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.8%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Ironi Baka El Garbiya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ironi Baka El Garbiya = 2.74 (league 1.44), Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel = 0.88 (league 1.27)

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 8.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.2% 8.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.3% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.3% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 9.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1