Liga Alef — Israel
Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.41) 1.50 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.5% 26.1% 54.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.9%
0 - 2
11.9%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Araba 0 10.6% 15.9% 11.9% 6.0% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.9% 11.8% 8.9% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 2.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArabaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack54%85%
Defense38%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Araba Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
Played66127613
Wins33%0%17%14%33%23%
Draws33%33%33%43%33%38%
Loses33%67%50%43%33%38%

Form: Araba: WDLLDLLDWLLD • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: DDLDLLWLDWLWD

League goals

Metric Araba Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
GF total95144913
GF avg1.50.81.20.61.51.0
GA total8111910414
GA avg1.31.81.61.40.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArabaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%46%46%
1.542%50%15%38%
2.58%25%15%15%
3.50%0%15%8%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArabaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
Clean sheets022347
Failed to score134347

Penalties

MetricArabaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricArabaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Wins11
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—1-00-5
Biggest losses1-23-00-42-0
Goals For3215
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricArabaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Form38%62%
Att39%61%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total35.3%64.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Superbet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.39 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.26 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Araba = 0.74 (league 1.41), Hapoel Migdal HaEmek = 1.50 (league 1.30)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Araba 0 10.6% 15.9% 11.9% 6.0% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.9% 11.8% 8.9% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 2.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 54.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1