Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 08:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.43) 0.76 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 29.3% 22.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
0 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0 13.3% 10.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.7% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 8.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Played55
Form33%0%
Attack33%17%
Defense42%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%13%27%25%29%27%
Draws29%38%33%0%0%0%
Loses29%50%40%75%71%73%

Form: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: WWDLWLLDLDWLLDD • Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: LLWLWWLLLWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
HATHAT
GF total68147815
GF avg0.91.00.90.91.11.0
GA total61319151429
GA avg0.91.61.31.92.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%73%47%80%
1.527%40%27%60%
2.50%13%20%47%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
HATHAT
Clean sheets404213
Failed to score325448

Penalties

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Wins22
Draws10
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-01-4
Biggest losses0-33-00-43-0
Goals For2234
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Double chance : Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.30 @ Dafabet
Away6.62 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 1xBet
No1.81 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm = 1.26 (league 1.43), Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel = 0.76 (league 1.31)

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0 13.3% 10.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.7% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 8.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 22.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1