Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.45) 1.60 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.0% 24.5% 43.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0 5.5% 8.8% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.1% 11.4% 9.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.7% 7.5% 6.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack57%38%
Defense62%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ironi Baka El Garbiya Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins86%13%47%13%43%27%
Draws0%38%20%50%29%40%
Loses14%50%33%38%29%33%

Form: Ironi Baka El Garbiya: DWWLWLWLLLDDWWW • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: DDLDLLWLDWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Ironi Baka El Garbiya Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
GF total1972641115
GF avg2.70.91.70.51.61.0
GA total9122110515
GA avg1.31.51.41.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%73%47%47%
1.553%40%20%33%
2.527%20%13%13%
3.57%7%13%7%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
Clean sheets224448
Failed to score033448

Penalties

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Wins21
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-11-00-5
Biggest losses1-23-00-42-0
Goals For5215
Goals Against4342

Model comparison

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Form58%42%
Att60%40%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ironi Baka El Garbiya or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ironi Baka El Garbiya = 1.31 (league 1.45), Hapoel Migdal HaEmek = 1.60 (league 1.30)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0 5.5% 8.8% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.1% 11.4% 9.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.7% 7.5% 6.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.0% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 43.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1