Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 11:20 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.41) 1.17 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 20.3% 19.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ironi Nesher
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0 3.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.8% 9.1% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmIroni Nesher
Played55
Form33%0%
Attack78%56%
Defense22%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Ironi Nesher
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins29%22%25%38%25%31%
Draws29%22%25%13%25%19%
Loses43%56%50%50%50%50%

Form: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: LLLLDDLWLWWDWLDL • Ironi Nesher: DWWLDWLWLDWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Ironi Nesher
HATHAT
GF total11112214620
GF avg1.61.21.41.80.81.3
GA total131528161531
GA avg1.91.71.82.01.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Umm al-FahmIroni Nesher
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%81%81%81%
1.544%50%38%63%
2.525%19%6%44%
3.50%13%0%6%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmIroni Nesher
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score235033

Penalties

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmIroni Nesher
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmIroni Nesher
Wins22
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-32-00-1
Biggest losses3-55-01-34-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against5534

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Umm al-FahmIroni Nesher
Form100%0%
Att58%42%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h67%33%
Goals63%38%
Total64.4%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Umm al-Fahm or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ Dafabet
Draw3.50 @ Superbet
Away3.66 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Superbet
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Umm al-Fahm = 2.15 (league 1.41), Ironi Nesher = 1.17 (league 1.30)

Ironi Nesher
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0 3.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.8% 9.1% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 19.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1