Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.41) 0.80 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 36.1% 33.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.3%
0 - 1
17.1%
1 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0 21.3% 17.1% 6.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.9% 12.7% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack42%21%
Defense79%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins13%38%25%13%13%13%
Draws50%25%38%50%0%25%
Loses38%38%38%38%88%63%

Form: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: DDLDLLWLDWLWDWDL • Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: LDLLDLLLDLWLLWDL

League goals

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HATHAT
GF total412164610
GF avg0.51.51.00.50.80.6
GA total10717121729
GA avg1.30.91.11.52.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Migdal HaEmekMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%44%81%
1.519%38%13%50%
2.513%13%6%31%
3.513%6%0%6%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HATHAT
Clean sheets448303
Failed to score448459

Penalties

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Wins11
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-51-01-3
Biggest losses0-42-01-63-0
Goals For1513
Goals Against4263

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.49 @ Dafabet
Draw4.20 @ Dafabet
Away6.67 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Migdal HaEmek = 0.74 (league 1.41), Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed = 0.80 (league 1.30)

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0 21.3% 17.1% 6.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.9% 12.7% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 36.1% · Away win 33.6%

vtt 4 , vtd1