Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.41) 0.92 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.0% 31.9% 33.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.1%
1 - 0
14.6%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0 15.1% 14.0% 6.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.5% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack60%70%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins22%33%28%44%11%28%
Draws44%33%39%33%33%33%
Loses33%33%33%22%56%39%

Form: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: DDLDLLWLDWLWDWDLWD • Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: WWDLWLLDLDWLLDDDLW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
GF total7121910919
GF avg0.81.31.11.11.01.1
GA total1171871522
GA avg1.20.81.00.81.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel Migdal HaEmekTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%72%72%
1.522%33%28%39%
2.517%11%6%11%
3.511%6%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
HATHAT
Clean sheets459505
Failed to score459325

Penalties

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Wins12
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-53-01-2
Biggest losses0-42-00-33-0
Goals For3532
Goals Against4233

Model comparison

MetricHapoel Migdal HaEmekTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
Form57%43%
Att46%54%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ William Hill
Away2.91 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Migdal HaEmek = 0.96 (league 1.41), Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm = 0.92 (league 1.30)

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 0 15.1% 14.0% 6.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.5% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.0% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.0% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 33.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1