Liga Alef — Israel
Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 18:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.41) 0.85 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 28.0% 23.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tira 0 11.2% 9.5% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 12.7% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.1% 8.6% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTiraHapoel Ironi Karmiel
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack60%20%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tira Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins70%60%65%50%40%45%
Draws0%10%5%30%20%25%
Loses30%30%30%20%40%30%

Form: Tira: LLWWWWWLWLWWDLWWWWLW • Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: DDWWLLWWWWLWLWDDWLLD

League goals

Metric Tira Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
HATHAT
GF total192342181129
GF avg1.92.32.11.81.11.5
GA total101323111021
GA avg1.01.31.21.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTiraHapoel Ironi Karmiel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%75%50%
1.550%40%45%30%
2.545%5%20%15%
3.515%0%5%5%
4.515%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTiraHapoel Ironi Karmiel
HATHAT
Clean sheets4266410
Failed to score224145

Penalties

MetricTiraHapoel Ironi Karmiel
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricTiraHapoel Ironi Karmiel
Wins54
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-64-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-03-52-0
Goals For5643
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricTiraHapoel Ironi Karmiel
Form71%29%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h100%0%
Goals63%38%
Total64.2%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Tira or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betway
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away4.33 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bwin
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tira = 1.35 (league 1.41), Hapoel Ironi Karmiel = 0.85 (league 1.30)

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tira 0 11.2% 9.5% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 12.7% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.1% 8.6% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 23.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1