Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 09:45 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.43) 4.93 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.4% 8.6% 44.6%
best score tips
2 - 4
4.8%
2 - 5
4.7%
1 - 4
4.6%
Holon Yermiyahu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Marmorek 0 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2%
1 0.2% 0.9% 2.3% 3.7% 4.6% 4.5%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.4% 3.9% 4.8% 4.7%
3 0.1% 0.7% 1.7% 2.7% 3.4% 3.3%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel MarmorekHolon Yermiyahu
Played22
Form0%33%
Attack14%43%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.53 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.53 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Marmorek Holon Yermiyahu
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%100%100%100%
Loses100%100%100%0%0%0%

Form: Hapoel Marmorek: LL • Holon Yermiyahu: DD

League goals

Metric Hapoel Marmorek Holon Yermiyahu
HATHAT
GF total101033
GF avg1.00.00.50.03.01.5
GA total213033
GA avg2.01.01.50.03.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel MarmorekHolon Yermiyahu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%50%50%
1.50%50%50%50%
2.50%0%50%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel MarmorekHolon Yermiyahu
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricHapoel MarmorekHolon Yermiyahu
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricHapoel MarmorekHolon Yermiyahu
Wins00
Draws02
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses1-21-0——
Goals For1003
Goals Against2103

Model comparison

MetricHapoel MarmorekHolon Yermiyahu
Form0%100%
Att25%75%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total40.6%59.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Holon Yermiyahu and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.19 @ Pinnacle
Away1.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Marathonbet
No1.72 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Marmorek = 2.09 (league 1.43), Holon Yermiyahu = 4.93 (league 1.22)

Holon Yermiyahu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Marmorek 0 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2%
1 0.2% 0.9% 2.3% 3.7% 4.6% 4.5%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.4% 3.9% 4.8% 4.7%
3 0.1% 0.7% 1.7% 2.7% 3.4% 3.3%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.4% · Draw 8.6% · Away win 44.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1