Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 10:05 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.43) 1.26 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.7% 28.1% 40.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC Jerusalem
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Ashdod 0 9.9% 12.5% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.4% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.5% 6.9% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaccabi AshdodFC Jerusalem
Played44
Form33%75%
Attack18%47%
Defense65%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.88 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.53 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maccabi Ashdod FC Jerusalem
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%100%50%75%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%0%50%25%

Form: Maccabi Ashdod: WLLD • FC Jerusalem: WWLW

League goals

Metric Maccabi Ashdod FC Jerusalem
HATHAT
GF total213538
GF avg1.00.50.82.51.52.0
GA total246033
GA avg1.02.01.50.01.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaccabi AshdodFC Jerusalem
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%50%
1.525%25%50%25%
2.50%25%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaccabi AshdodFC Jerusalem
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricMaccabi AshdodFC Jerusalem
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMaccabi AshdodFC Jerusalem
Wins12
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-0—2-1
Goals For2142
Goals Against1302

Model comparison

MetricMaccabi AshdodFC Jerusalem
Form31%69%
Att27%73%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals80%20%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Jerusalem

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.09 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Maccabi Ashdod = 1.05 (league 1.43), FC Jerusalem = 1.26 (league 1.19)

FC Jerusalem
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Ashdod 0 9.9% 12.5% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.4% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.5% 6.9% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 40.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1