Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 10:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.44) 1.23 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.8% 23.5% 26.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Maccabi Ashdod
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Herzliya 0 5.1% 6.2% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.9% 10.9% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel HerzliyaMaccabi Ashdod
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack64%100%
Defense43%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.816 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Herzliya Maccabi Ashdod
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%50%44%80%25%56%
Draws40%25%33%0%25%11%
Loses20%25%22%20%50%33%

Form: Hapoel Herzliya: DWDLWWWDL • Maccabi Ashdod: WLLDWWWLW

League goals

Metric Hapoel Herzliya Maccabi Ashdod
HATHAT
GF total771415419
GF avg1.41.81.63.01.02.1
GA total85133710
GA avg1.61.31.40.61.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel HerzliyaMaccabi Ashdod
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%89%78%67%
1.556%33%56%22%
2.511%11%33%22%
3.511%11%22%0%
4.50%0%22%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel HerzliyaMaccabi Ashdod
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricHapoel HerzliyaMaccabi Ashdod
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHapoel HerzliyaMaccabi Ashdod
Wins33
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-45-00-1
Biggest losses0-41-00-13-0
Goals For2452
Goals Against4213

Model comparison

MetricHapoel HerzliyaMaccabi Ashdod
Form45%55%
Att36%64%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Hapoel Herzliya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.57 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.08 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Herzliya = 1.75 (league 1.44), Maccabi Ashdod = 1.23 (league 1.30)

Maccabi Ashdod
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Herzliya 0 5.1% 6.2% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.9% 10.9% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.8% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 26.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1