Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 09:45 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.46) 5.80 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.3% 1.2% 46.3%
best score tips
0 - 5
10.3%
0 - 4
8.8%
0 - 3
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Marmorek 0 0.2% 1.1% 3.2% 6.1% 8.8% 10.3%
1 0.1% 0.5% 1.5% 2.9% 4.2% 4.9%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel MarmorekMaccabi Kiryat Gat
Played55
Form20%73%
Attack20%55%
Defense25%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 33 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Marmorek Maccabi Kiryat Gat
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins20%25%22%40%100%67%
Draws0%0%0%60%0%33%
Loses80%75%78%0%0%0%

Form: Hapoel Marmorek: LLWLWLLLL • Maccabi Kiryat Gat: WDWWDWWWD

League goals

Metric Hapoel Marmorek Maccabi Kiryat Gat
HATHAT
GF total527101222
GF avg1.00.50.82.03.02.4
GA total12921606
GA avg2.42.32.31.20.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel MarmorekMaccabi Kiryat Gat
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%100%33%
1.522%67%78%22%
2.50%56%44%11%
3.50%22%11%0%
4.50%11%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel MarmorekMaccabi Kiryat Gat
HATHAT
Clean sheets112246
Failed to score134000

Penalties

MetricHapoel MarmorekMaccabi Kiryat Gat
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricHapoel MarmorekMaccabi Kiryat Gat
Wins13
Draws01
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-00-5
Biggest losses0-35-0——
Goals For2235
Goals Against4530

Model comparison

MetricHapoel MarmorekMaccabi Kiryat Gat
Form21%79%
Att27%73%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h100%0%
Goals94%6%
Total39.8%60.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Maccabi Kiryat Gat and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.30 @ 1xBet
Draw5.89 @ Pinnacle
Away1.28 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Marmorek = 0.48 (league 1.46), Maccabi Kiryat Gat = 5.80 (league 1.24)

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Marmorek 0 0.2% 1.1% 3.2% 6.1% 8.8% 10.3%
1 0.1% 0.5% 1.5% 2.9% 4.2% 4.9%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.3% · Draw 1.2% · Away win 46.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1