Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 10:35 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.61 (league 1.41) 1.40 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 17.6% 18.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
3 - 1
7.5%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Herzliya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0 1.8% 2.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.7% 6.6% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.2% 8.6% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.5% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.5% 4.9% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.8% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaccabi Kiryat GatHapoel Herzliya
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack79%14%
Defense71%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maccabi Kiryat Gat Hapoel Herzliya
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins50%100%75%29%40%33%
Draws50%0%25%43%20%33%
Loses0%0%0%29%40%33%

Form: Maccabi Kiryat Gat: WDWWDWWWDWWW • Hapoel Herzliya: DWDLWWWDLLLD

League goals

Metric Maccabi Kiryat Gat Hapoel Herzliya
HATHAT
GF total1416308715
GF avg2.32.72.51.11.41.3
GA total81911819
GA avg1.30.20.81.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaccabi Kiryat GatHapoel Herzliya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%42%67%83%
1.583%25%42%42%
2.542%8%8%25%
3.517%0%8%8%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaccabi Kiryat GatHapoel Herzliya
HATHAT
Clean sheets257202
Failed to score000224

Penalties

MetricMaccabi Kiryat GatHapoel Herzliya
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMaccabi Kiryat GatHapoel Herzliya
Wins33
Draws11
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-52-02-4
Biggest losses——0-43-0
Goals For4524
Goals Against3143

Model comparison

MetricMaccabi Kiryat GatHapoel Herzliya
Form87%13%
Att85%15%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Winner : Maccabi Kiryat Gat

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Bet365
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away5.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maccabi Kiryat Gat = 2.61 (league 1.41), Hapoel Herzliya = 1.40 (league 1.30)

Hapoel Herzliya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Kiryat Gat 0 1.8% 2.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.7% 6.6% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.2% 8.6% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.5% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.5% 4.9% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.8% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 18.7%

vtt 4 , vtd1