Liga Alef — Israel
Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.41) 1.23 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 29.7% 46.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.5%
0 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Shimshon Tel Aviv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Herzliya 0 13.4% 16.5% 10.2% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.4% 12.8% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHapoel HerzliyaShimshon Tel Aviv
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack15%54%
Defense0%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hapoel Herzliya Shimshon Tel Aviv
HATHAT
Played76135813
Wins29%33%31%40%38%38%
Draws43%17%31%40%13%23%
Loses29%50%38%20%50%38%

Form: Hapoel Herzliya: DWDLWWWDLLLDL • Shimshon Tel Aviv: LLLWDDLWWWWLD

League goals

Metric Hapoel Herzliya Shimshon Tel Aviv
HATHAT
GF total88169817
GF avg1.11.31.21.81.01.3
GA total11112210818
GA avg1.61.81.72.01.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHapoel HerzliyaShimshon Tel Aviv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%62%77%
1.538%46%38%46%
2.58%31%23%15%
3.58%8%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHapoel HerzliyaShimshon Tel Aviv
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score224145

Penalties

MetricHapoel HerzliyaShimshon Tel Aviv
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHapoel HerzliyaShimshon Tel Aviv
Wins34
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-43-22-4
Biggest losses0-43-00-32-0
Goals For2434
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricHapoel HerzliyaShimshon Tel Aviv
Form9%91%
Att22%78%
Def28%72%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total32.7%67.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Shimshon Tel Aviv

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ Superbet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Superbet
No2.02 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hapoel Herzliya = 0.78 (league 1.41), Shimshon Tel Aviv = 1.23 (league 1.30)

Shimshon Tel Aviv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hapoel Herzliya 0 13.4% 16.5% 10.2% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.4% 12.8% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 46.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1