Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 10:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.41) 0.49 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.5% 14.2% 5.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.1%
1 - 0
13.3%
3 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Marmorek
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Jerusalem 0 5.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.3% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC JerusalemHapoel Marmorek
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack100%67%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Jerusalem Hapoel Marmorek
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins71%25%47%13%29%20%
Draws14%25%20%13%14%13%
Loses14%50%33%75%57%67%

Form: FC Jerusalem: WWLWLWDLLWWWLDD • Hapoel Marmorek: LLWLWLLLLLLLWDD

League goals

Metric FC Jerusalem Hapoel Marmorek
HATHAT
GF total1412266511
GF avg2.01.51.70.80.70.7
GA total61319171229
GA avg0.91.61.32.11.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC JerusalemHapoel Marmorek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%73%53%73%
1.547%40%20%60%
2.527%13%0%40%
3.520%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC JerusalemHapoel Marmorek
HATHAT
Clean sheets314134
Failed to score123347

Penalties

MetricFC JerusalemHapoel Marmorek
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricFC JerusalemHapoel Marmorek
Wins31
Draws10
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-41-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-10-35-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against2345

Model comparison

MetricFC JerusalemHapoel Marmorek
Form62%38%
Att71%29%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h64%36%
Goals62%38%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Winner : FC Jerusalem

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.49 @ 188Bet
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Marathonbet
No1.97 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Jerusalem = 2.41 (league 1.41), Hapoel Marmorek = 0.49 (league 1.30)

Hapoel Marmorek
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Jerusalem 0 5.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.3% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.5% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 5.7%

vtt 4 , vtd1