Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 00:00 •
Estadio El Hogar
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.52)
0.64 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.1% | 24.1% | 14.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Calor de San Pedro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gavilanes FC Matamoros | 0 | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Calor de San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 83% |
| Attack | 38% | 46% |
| Defense | 85% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Calor de San Pedro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWL • Calor de San Pedro: WWWD
League goals
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Calor de San Pedro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Calor de San Pedro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Calor de San Pedro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Calor de San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Calor de San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | — | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | Calor de San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Gavilanes FC Matamoros or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 1.65 (league 1.52), Calor de San Pedro = 0.64 (league 1.18)
| Calor de San Pedro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gavilanes FC Matamoros | 0 | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.1% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 14.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1