Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 01:00 •
Estadio Ignacio López Rayón
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.52)
0.34 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6% | 22.6% | 7.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.6%
2 - 0
18.6%
0 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ciervos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zitacuaro | 0 | 13.7% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.6% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.6% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Ciervos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 0% |
| Attack | 28% | 11% |
| Defense | 50% | 28% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Ciervos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Zitacuaro: DWLDL • Ciervos: LLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Ciervos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zitacuaro | Ciervos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 100% | 20% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Ciervos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Ciervos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Ciervos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Ciervos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Zitacuaro or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Zitacuaro = 1.65 (league 1.52), Ciervos = 0.34 (league 1.18)
| Ciervos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zitacuaro | 0 | 13.7% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.6% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.6% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.6% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 7.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1