Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 01:00 •
Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.52)
0.43 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.0% | 28.8% | 11.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.1%
0 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Chilpancingo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lobos ULMX | 0 | 17.5% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.2% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 33% | 25% |
| Defense | 67% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Chilpancingo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Form: Lobos ULMX: LWDLD • Chilpancingo: WLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Chilpancingo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lobos ULMX | Chilpancingo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 40% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Chilpancingo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Lobos ULMX or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lobos ULMX = 1.32 (league 1.52), Chilpancingo = 0.43 (league 1.18)
| Chilpancingo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lobos ULMX | 0 | 17.5% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.1% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.2% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.0% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 11.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1