Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 21:30 • Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.52) 1.19 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.3% 24.4% 27.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gavilanes FC Matamoros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Apodaca 0 5.9% 7.0% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.5% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.5% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal ApodacaGavilanes FC Matamoros
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack92%54%
Defense85%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Apodaca Gavilanes FC Matamoros
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%100%100%67%0%40%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%20%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%40%

Form: Real Apodaca: WWWWW • Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWLW

League goals

Metric Real Apodaca Gavilanes FC Matamoros
HATHAT
GF total5712707
GF avg2.52.32.42.30.01.4
GA total202022
GA avg1.00.00.40.01.00.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal ApodacaGavilanes FC Matamoros
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%20%40%40%
1.580%20%40%0%
2.560%0%20%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal ApodacaGavilanes FC Matamoros
HATHAT
Clean sheets134303
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricReal ApodacaGavilanes FC Matamoros
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricReal ApodacaGavilanes FC Matamoros
Wins51
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-0—
Biggest losses———1-0
Goals For3350
Goals Against2001

Model comparison

MetricReal ApodacaGavilanes FC Matamoros
Form68%32%
Att63%37%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : Real Apodaca or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Apodaca = 1.65 (league 1.52), Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 1.19 (league 1.18)

Gavilanes FC Matamoros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Apodaca 0 5.9% 7.0% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.5% 6.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.5% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 27.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1