Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.52) 0.18 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.3% 25.0% 4.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.4%
2 - 0
20.7%
0 - 0
19.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gavilanes FC Matamoros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lobos ULMX 0 19.5% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.4% 5.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLobos ULMXGavilanes FC Matamoros
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack24%48%
Defense76%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lobos ULMX Gavilanes FC Matamoros
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%0%29%75%0%43%
Draws0%75%43%25%0%14%
Loses33%25%29%0%100%43%

Form: Lobos ULMX: LWDLDWD • Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Lobos ULMX Gavilanes FC Matamoros
HATHAT
GF total4379110
GF avg1.30.81.02.30.31.4
GA total246156
GA avg0.71.00.90.31.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLobos ULMXGavilanes FC Matamoros
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%57%57%
1.529%0%43%14%
2.50%0%14%14%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLobos ULMXGavilanes FC Matamoros
HATHAT
Clean sheets101303
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricLobos ULMXGavilanes FC Matamoros
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLobos ULMXGavilanes FC Matamoros
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—5-0—
Biggest losses0-11-0—3-1
Goals For2151
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricLobos ULMXGavilanes FC Matamoros
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gavilanes FC Matamoros

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.77 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lobos ULMX = 1.45 (league 1.52), Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 0.18 (league 1.18)

Gavilanes FC Matamoros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lobos ULMX 0 19.5% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.4% 5.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.7% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.3% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 4.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1