Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 01:00 •
Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.52)
0.77 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.0% | 20.6% | 13.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.6%
2 - 0
12.5%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Calor de San Pedro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lobos ULMX | 0 | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Calor de San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 64% |
| Defense | 73% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Calor de San Pedro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 17% | 25% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
Form: Lobos ULMX: LWDLDWDWLWWW • Calor de San Pedro: WWWDLDWDLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Calor de San Pedro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 6 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lobos ULMX | Calor de San Pedro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 42% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Calor de San Pedro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Calor de San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Calor de San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Calor de San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 69.5% | 30.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Lobos ULMX or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lobos ULMX = 1.97 (league 1.52), Calor de San Pedro = 0.77 (league 1.18)
| Calor de San Pedro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lobos ULMX | 0 | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 13.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1