Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 22:00 • Deportivo Municipal Atitalaquia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.51) 1.90 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.2% 22.3% 54.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Gavilanes FC Matamoros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Hidalgo 0 4.9% 9.2% 8.8% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.5% 10.4% 9.9% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1%
2 3.1% 5.8% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico HidalgoGavilanes FC Matamoros
Played55
Form0%53%
Attack15%46%
Defense0%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)22 | 4.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Hidalgo Gavilanes FC Matamoros
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins0%14%8%71%0%38%
Draws17%14%15%29%17%23%
Loses83%71%77%0%83%38%

Form: Atletico Hidalgo: DLLDWLLLLLLLL • Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWLWLWLWLDWD

League goals

Metric Atletico Hidalgo Gavilanes FC Matamoros
HATHAT
GF total661212416
GF avg1.00.90.91.70.71.2
GA total19193821012
GA avg3.22.72.90.31.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico HidalgoGavilanes FC Matamoros
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%92%62%54%
1.515%85%31%15%
2.515%46%15%15%
3.50%23%8%8%
4.50%15%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico HidalgoGavilanes FC Matamoros
HATHAT
Clean sheets011516
Failed to score235145

Penalties

MetricAtletico HidalgoGavilanes FC Matamoros
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAtletico HidalgoGavilanes FC Matamoros
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-35-0—
Biggest losses0-77-1—3-1
Goals For3353
Goals Against7714

Model comparison

MetricAtletico HidalgoGavilanes FC Matamoros
Form0%100%
Att25%75%
Def19%81%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total33.3%66.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gavilanes FC Matamoros

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.50 @ 10Bet
Draw4.60 @ Unibet
Away1.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Unibet
No1.80 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Hidalgo = 1.13 (league 1.51), Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 1.90 (league 1.18)

Gavilanes FC Matamoros
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Hidalgo 0 4.9% 9.2% 8.8% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.5% 10.4% 9.9% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1%
2 3.1% 5.8% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.2% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 54.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1