Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 21:30 • Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 1.51) 0.34 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.3% 9.0% 2.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.5%
3 - 0
15.9%
4 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Ciervos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Apodaca 0 4.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.5% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.9% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal ApodacaCiervos
Played55
Form100%7%
Attack100%50%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Apodaca Ciervos
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins86%100%92%0%14%8%
Draws14%0%8%0%14%8%
Loses0%0%0%100%71%85%

Form: Real Apodaca: WWWWWWDWWWWWW • Ciervos: LLLLLWLLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Real Apodaca Ciervos
HATHAT
GF total161228538
GF avg2.32.02.20.80.40.6
GA total718151328
GA avg1.00.20.62.51.92.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal ApodacaCiervos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%46%46%92%
1.569%15%15%77%
2.546%0%0%38%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal ApodacaCiervos
HATHAT
Clean sheets257011
Failed to score000257

Penalties

MetricReal ApodacaCiervos
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricReal ApodacaCiervos
Wins61
Draws10
Losses06

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-3—0-2
Biggest losses——0-34-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2134

Model comparison

MetricReal ApodacaCiervos
Form94%6%
Att79%21%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total82.8%17.3%

Advice: Winner : Real Apodaca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.14 @ William Hill
Draw8.00 @ Betfair
Away20.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Apodaca = 2.88 (league 1.51), Ciervos = 0.34 (league 1.17)

Ciervos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Apodaca 0 4.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.5% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.9% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.3% · Draw 9.0% · Away win 2.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1