Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Mariano Matamoros
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.54)
0.35 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.5% | 30.8% | 10.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.5%
0 - 0
21.0%
2 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Chilpancingo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zacatepec 1948 | 0 | 21.0% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.5% | 8.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.5% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 19% | 50% |
| Defense | 100% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Chilpancingo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 36% |
| Draws | 25% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 25% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 50% | 36% |
Zacatepec 1948LWLWWLWLWDWDDW
ChilpancingoWLLWLLWLWDDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Chilpancingo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zacatepec 1948 | Chilpancingo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 36% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 7% | 29% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 21% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Chilpancingo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zacatepec 1948 | Chilpancingo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 60.8% | 39.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw3.85 @ Dafabet
Away5.60 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.90 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ Betfair
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League standings
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