Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 02:05 • Estadio El Hogar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.51) 0.33 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.3% 17.0% 5.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.4%
1 - 0
19.2%
3 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
FC Santiago
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros 0 9.5% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.2% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.4% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosFC Santiago
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack29%24%
Defense65%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gavilanes FC Matamoros FC Santiago
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins71%0%36%50%50%50%
Draws29%14%21%25%0%14%
Loses0%86%43%25%50%36%

Form: Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWLWLWLWLDWDL • FC Santiago: WWWLDLWWWLLWDL

League goals

Metric Gavilanes FC Matamoros FC Santiago
HATHAT
GF total124168816
GF avg1.70.61.11.01.31.1
GA total2111351116
GA avg0.31.60.90.61.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGavilanes FC MatamorosFC Santiago
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%79%64%
1.529%14%29%29%
2.514%14%7%14%
3.57%7%0%7%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosFC Santiago
HATHAT
Clean sheets516415
Failed to score156213

Penalties

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosFC Santiago
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosFC Santiago
Wins13
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-0—3-01-2
Biggest losses—3-10-24-0
Goals For5332
Goals Against1424

Model comparison

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosFC Santiago
Form56%44%
Att56%44%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total63.3%36.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Santiago

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Dafabet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.85 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 2.03 (league 1.51), FC Santiago = 0.33 (league 1.18)

FC Santiago
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros 0 9.5% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.2% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.4% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.3% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 5.0%

vtt 5 , vtd1