Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Ignacio López Rayón
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.51)
0.51 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.0% | 40.5% | 22.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
28.6%
1 - 0
21.2%
0 - 1
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Gavilanes FC Matamoros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zitacuaro | 0 | 28.6% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 47% | 20% |
| Defense | 47% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 14% | 25% | 20% | 63% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 57% | 13% | 33% | 38% | 14% | 27% |
| Loses | 29% | 63% | 47% | 0% | 86% | 40% |
Form: Zitacuaro: DWLDLLLWLDLLWDD • Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWLWLWLWLDWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 7 | 16 | 23 | 3 | 11 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zitacuaro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 87% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 27% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zitacuaro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gavilanes FC Matamoros and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Zitacuaro = 0.74 (league 1.51), Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 0.51 (league 1.18)
| Gavilanes FC Matamoros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zitacuaro | 0 | 28.6% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.0% · Draw 40.5% · Away win 22.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1