Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio El Hogar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.53) 0.31 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.0% 22.0% 6.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.1%
2 - 0
19.3%
0 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Chilpancingo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros 0 13.8% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 7.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.3% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosChilpancingo
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack33%100%
Defense67%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gavilanes FC Matamoros Chilpancingo
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins63%0%31%44%14%31%
Draws38%25%31%33%43%38%
Loses0%75%38%22%43%31%

Form: Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWLWLWLWLDWDLDD • Chilpancingo: WLLWLLWLWDDDDWDD

League goals

Metric Gavilanes FC Matamoros Chilpancingo
HATHAT
GF total1341715621
GF avg1.60.51.11.70.91.3
GA total31114141125
GA avg0.41.40.91.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGavilanes FC MatamorosChilpancingo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%75%88%
1.525%13%25%44%
2.513%13%19%25%
3.56%6%6%0%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosChilpancingo
HATHAT
Clean sheets527112
Failed to score167224

Penalties

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosChilpancingo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosChilpancingo
Wins11
Draws14
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-0—5-21-2
Biggest losses—3-10-33-0
Goals For5352
Goals Against1433

Model comparison

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosChilpancingo
Form46%54%
Att20%80%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chilpancingo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ 10Bet
Away4.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 10Bet
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 1.67 (league 1.53), Chilpancingo = 0.31 (league 1.16)

Chilpancingo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros 0 13.8% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 7.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.3% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 6.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1