Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.54)
0.69 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.2% | 31.0% | 21.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Gavilanes FC Matamoros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Calor de San Pedro | 0 | 15.6% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.3% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Calor de San Pedro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 55% | 82% |
| Defense | 73% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Calor de San Pedro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 45% | 38% | 42% | 67% | 25% | 46% |
| Draws | 36% | 23% | 29% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Loses | 18% | 38% | 29% | 8% | 58% | 33% |
Form: Calor de San Pedro: WWWDLDWDLWDLWDLLDWWDLWWL • Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWLWLWLWLDWDLDDWWLWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Calor de San Pedro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 18 | 12 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 9 | 17 | 26 | 6 | 14 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Calor de San Pedro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 75% | 63% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 25% | 38% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 8% | 17% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Calor de San Pedro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Calor de San Pedro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Calor de San Pedro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Calor de San Pedro | Gavilanes FC Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 38.3% | 61.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gavilanes FC Matamoros and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Calor de San Pedro = 1.17 (league 1.54), Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 0.69 (league 1.16)
| Gavilanes FC Matamoros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Calor de San Pedro | 0 | 15.6% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.3% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 21.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1