Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.54)
1.72 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.7% | 23.8% | 53.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.4%
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Apodaca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lobos ULMX | 0 | 6.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Real Apodaca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 42% | 75% |
| Defense | 67% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Real Apodaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 90% | 78% | 84% |
| Draws | 10% | 44% | 26% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Loses | 40% | 22% | 32% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
Lobos ULMXLWDLDWDWLWWWLLLWDDW
Real ApodacaWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Real Apodaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 16 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lobos ULMX | Real Apodaca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 79% | 95% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 11% | 63% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 5% | 42% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Real Apodaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Real Apodaca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Real Apodaca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lobos ULMX | Real Apodaca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.15 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.02 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…