Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio El Hogar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.53) 0.39 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.0% 38.3% 15.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.7%
1 - 0
24.7%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lobos ULMX
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros 0 27.7% 10.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 9.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.0% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosLobos ULMX
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack33%33%
Defense73%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gavilanes FC Matamoros Lobos ULMX
HATHAT
Played1091911920
Wins70%0%37%45%33%40%
Draws30%22%26%18%44%30%
Loses0%78%37%36%22%30%

Form: Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWLWLWLWLDWDLDDWWL • Lobos ULMX: LWDLDWDWLWWWLLLWDDWD

League goals

Metric Gavilanes FC Matamoros Lobos ULMX
HATHAT
GF total1742117825
GF avg1.70.41.11.50.91.3
GA total5121711718
GA avg0.51.30.91.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGavilanes FC MatamorosLobos ULMX
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%63%65%75%
1.532%11%35%10%
2.511%11%5%5%
3.55%5%5%0%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosLobos ULMX
HATHAT
Clean sheets527325
Failed to score178437

Penalties

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosLobos ULMX
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosLobos ULMX
Wins23
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-0—7-11-2
Biggest losses—3-10-21-0
Goals For5372
Goals Against1431

Model comparison

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosLobos ULMX
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h62%38%
Goals69%31%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gavilanes FC Matamoros or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Betano
Away4.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Betano
No1.69 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 0.89 (league 1.53), Lobos ULMX = 0.39 (league 1.14)

Lobos ULMX
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros 0 27.7% 10.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 9.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.0% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.0% · Draw 38.3% · Away win 15.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1