Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Ignacio López Rayón
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.53)
0.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.1% | 35.6% | 35.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
20.8%
0 - 1
17.4%
1 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Santiago | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zitacuaro | 0 | 20.8% | 17.4% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zitacuaro | FC Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 73% |
| Attack | 25% | 56% |
| Defense | 81% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zitacuaro | FC Santiago | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 30% | 18% | 24% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 27% | 38% | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Loses | 20% | 55% | 38% | 20% | 30% | 25% |
Form: Zitacuaro: DWLDLLLWLDLLWDDDDWDWL • FC Santiago: WWWLDLWWWLLWDLDDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Zitacuaro | FC Santiago | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 18 | 26 | 6 | 14 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zitacuaro | FC Santiago | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 76% | 85% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 29% | 30% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zitacuaro | FC Santiago | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zitacuaro | FC Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zitacuaro | FC Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zitacuaro | FC Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Santiago and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Zitacuaro = 0.73 (league 1.53), FC Santiago = 0.84 (league 1.14)
| FC Santiago | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zitacuaro | 0 | 20.8% | 17.4% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 35.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1