Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Arreola
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.53)
0.59 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.8% | 38.8% | 25.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.7%
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 1
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gavilanes FC Matamoros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ciervos | 0 | 25.7% | 15.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ciervos | Gavilanes FC Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 44% | 31% |
| Defense | 56% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ciervos | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 20% | 18% | 19% | 73% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 20% | 9% | 14% | 27% | 22% | 25% |
| Loses | 60% | 73% | 67% | 0% | 78% | 35% |
Form: Ciervos: LLLLLWLLLLLLDLWLDWDLW • Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWLWLWLWLDWDLDDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Ciervos | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 22 | 39 | 5 | 12 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ciervos | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 86% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 67% | 30% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 29% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ciervos | Gavilanes FC Matamoros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ciervos | Gavilanes FC Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 80.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 20.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ciervos | Gavilanes FC Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 5-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ciervos | Gavilanes FC Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gavilanes FC Matamoros and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ciervos = 0.77 (league 1.53), Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 0.59 (league 1.14)
| Gavilanes FC Matamoros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ciervos | 0 | 25.7% | 15.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 38.8% · Away win 25.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1