Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 18:00 •
Cancha Vicente Guerrero
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.54)
1.30 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.2% | 24.0% | 29.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Zitacuaro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chilpancingo | 0 | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chilpancingo | Zitacuaro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 40% | 27% |
| Defense | 53% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chilpancingo | Zitacuaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 45% | 18% | 32% | 30% | 18% | 24% |
| Draws | 27% | 36% | 32% | 50% | 27% | 38% |
| Loses | 27% | 45% | 36% | 20% | 55% | 38% |
ChilpancingoWLLWLLWLWDDDDWDDLLLDWW
ZitacuaroDWLDLLLWLDLLWDDDDWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Chilpancingo | Zitacuaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 10 | 28 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 17 | 17 | 34 | 8 | 18 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chilpancingo | Zitacuaro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 82% | 62% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 45% | 19% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 23% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chilpancingo | Zitacuaro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chilpancingo | Zitacuaro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chilpancingo | Zitacuaro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chilpancingo | Zitacuaro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 92% | 8% |
| Total | 61.8% | 38.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.89 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.75 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
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League standings
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